Vident Financial

Probability of Success




The Probability of Success application is designed to forecast how likely a particular fund is to succeed in achieving future accumulation goals after inflation. You tell us what your goals are and the fund you would like to test and we can tell you how likely that fund is to achieve your goal. We can also give you a probable range of returns; the likely volatility (how ‘bumpy’ the ride is) and tracking error (how different the returns might be in any given time period from the indices which are reported on the news). Investing involves real world trade-offs between meeting return targets vs. keeping returns smooth vs. keeping your return statements close to the same returns as the general market. You can’t get them all. This application helps you see how much of the probability of success you might be sacrificing to pursue the other two goals.








The projections or other information generated by the Probability of Success Tool regarding the likelihood of various investment outcomes are hypothetical in nature, do not reflect actual investment results and are not guarantees of future results.

The fund's investment objectives, risks, charges and expenses must be considered carefully before investing. The prospectus and summary prospectus (VIDI, VUSE, VBND) contains this and other important information about the investment company, and a free hardcopy of the prospectus may be obtained by calling 1-800-617-0004. Read carefully before investing. Holdings information for each fund as follows: VIDI, VUSE, VBND.

Investments involve risk. Principal loss is possible. The Funds have the same risks as the underlying securities traded on the exchange throughout the day at market price. Redemptions are limited and often commissions are charged on each trade. VIDI is non-diversified, meaning it may concentrate its assets in fewer individual holdings than a diversified fund. Investments in foreign securities involve political, economic and currency risks, greater volatility and differences in accounting methods. These risks are greater for investments in emerging markets. A fund that concentrates its investments in the securities of a particular industry or geographic area may be more volatile than a fund that invests in a broader range of industries. VIDI and VBND may invest in illiquid or thinly traded securities which involve additional risks such as limited liquidity and greater volatility. VBND may make investments in debt securities. The Fund's investments in high yield securities expose it to a substantial degree of credit risk. These investments are considered speculative under traditional investment standards. Debt issuers and other counterparties may not honor their obligations or may have their debt downgraded by ratings agencies. An increase in interest rates may cause the value of fixed-income securities held by the Fund to decline. During periods of rising interest rates, certain debt obligations will be paid off substantially more slowly than originally anticipated and the value of those securities may fall sharply, resulting in a decline in the Fund's income and potentially in the value of the Fund's investments. VBND may also invest in asset backed and mortgage backed securities which include additional risks that investors should be aware of such as credit risk, prepayment risk, possible illiquidity and default, as well as increased susceptibility to adverse economic developments. The performance of the funds may diverge from that of the Index. Because the Funds employ a representative sampling strategy and may also invest up to 20% of its assets in securities that are not included in the Index, the Funds may experience tracking error to a greater extent than a fund that seeks to replicate an index. The Funds are not actively managed and may be affected by a general decline in market segments related to the index. The Funds invest in securities included in, or representative of securities included in, the index, regardless of their investment merits. Small and medium-capitalization companies tend to have more limited liquidity and greater price volatility than large-capitalization companies. Unlike mutual funds, ETFs may trade at a premium or discount to their net asset value. Market vs. NAV Returns. The total return of an ETF based on its market price and its NAV at the beginning and end of the holding period. The market return, not the NAV return, is the return actually earned by ETF investors, except for those who hold creation units. The NAV is the value of each share of a fund as determined by the value of its underlying holdings, including any cash in the portfolio. NAV is calculated by dividing a fund's total net assets by its number of shares outstanding.

The Vident Funds are distributed by Quasar Distributors, LLC. The fund's investment advisor is Exchange Traded Concepts LLC. VIDI, VBND, and VUSE's sub-advisor is Vident Investment Advisory (VIA). Vident Financial owns the indexes that underline the funds. Quasar is not affiliated with Vident Financial, Exchange Traded Concepts, or Vident Investment Advisory. Quasar is not the distributor of FLAG ETF.

Diversification does not guarantee a profit or protect from loss in a declining market.

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